• Near term, debt ceiling issues and the spend down of the TGA could be supportive of stocks.
  • More medium-term, market positioning is close to historical bull market tops.
  • Inflation and/or growth in persistent, interest rates need to price this in.
  • Terming out of government debt, and 2025 corporate maturity wall are all coming in at a time when measures of market liquidity are decreasing.
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